WASHINGTON — Notice a common number — or thereabouts — in the latest national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll? Trump’s percentage against Joe Biden in a hypothetical matchup: 42 percent. His percentage against Bernie Sanders: 43 percent. His percentage against Elizabeth Warren: 43 percent. His percentage against Kamala Harris: 44 percent. His job-approval rating: 45 percent. And just to expand on this exercise, Trump’s job rating exactly a year ago in the NBC/WSJ poll was — you guessed it — 45 percent. Ditto his job rating in the exit poll for the 2018 midterms. It’s a reminder of how constant Trump’s numbers are, despite the always-changing news cycle … how similar Trump’s ballot numbers are to his job rating … and how perilous his political standing is given the overall state of the U.S. economy. Incumbent presidents, especially those not facing a real primary challenge, have a baked-in advantage getting to focus on a general election for four years, instead of the four to five months the opposition gets. And as we saw in 2016, a person can still win the electoral college by getting just 46 percent of the popular vote. But don’t lose sight of just how unpopular… Read full this story
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